Real – Time MADAM : Pan Am and ParaPan Am Forecast

ESSE Post Doc (Zhan Li) and 4th year undergraduate student (Zheng Qi Wang) are working with the The Weather Network on a joint project with ESSE (Principle Investigator, Professor Yongsheng Chen) to run real time weather forecasts for southern Ontario during the Pan Am and ParaPan Am games (July 10-26 and Aug 7-15). The forecast model is WRF, adapted to assimilate radar and radar wind profiler (The York-Western OQ-Net) data in real time. The model is run every hour to generate hourly forecasts out to 12 hours. A display of simulated radar forecasts indicating rainfall rates and locations is available at:

http://www.yorku.ca/madam/index

This pilot study is the first ESSE/TWN attempt to run an independent weather forecast model in real time. Earlier tests indicated benefits from assimilating data from our OQ-Net wind profilers.